Saturday, November 28, 2009

Obesity


In last recent years UK government discovered a very big problem in society - OBESITY

Obesity is a high accumulation of fat in  people's body. We can measure obesity by Body Mass Index (BMI). It is calculated as your weight (in kg) divided by your height (in metres) squared. People of average weight have BMI between 18 and 25 and people with overweight have BMI over 30. This group of people is considered obese.  


Here is some facts about obesity in the UK

- 70% of men and 63% of women are overweight or obese

- Obesity accounts for 30000 deaths a year

- Obesity is estimated to cost the British economy over 2 bn of pounds every year

- One in five children in Britain eats no fruit at all

Lets talk about cause of obesity. From some estimation the main causes of obesity are:

1) Changing lifestyle - for example people are likely to eat fast food today, because they have a daily work, so their spare time is very limited, therefore most people are not able to cook and they have to "have a snack" every day, which can cause an obesity.

2) The falling real cost of processed foods because of economies of scale. Big food companies such as Mcdonalds are growing very fast, so prices for their food are falling (economies of scale - getting bigger - minimizing cost of production of each unit). This is (low prices) ,of course, very attractive for people, so most of them are starting to consume cheap fast food.

3) Calories.  There has been an increase in calorific consumption per day and decline in every day exercises taken. 

4) A rise in relative poverty. Lower income consumers prefer cheap food. As I sad before prices for fast food are falling (because of economies of scale, for example), so poverty would buy fast food more than expensive healthy food. 

5) Bigger portions.

In conclusion I would like to say that government has to fight with obesity. It can be done by subsidizing healthy food production, also by providing information campaign about harm of consuming fast food. Probably providing taxation on producers obese food could  be useful to stop obesity rising. All these actions are part of government intervention, that government has to do to solve market failure (obesity is one of examples of market failure).

 

Monday, November 16, 2009

A2 Glossary

Absolute advantage: when a country can make more of a given product using fewer resources than another nation. Unit cost of production is lower.

Absolute poverty: occurs when income is inadequate to enjoy a minimum standard of living

Accelerator: a theory that links the change in investment to the rate of change in GDP

Active demand management: government use of fiscal or monetary policy to change levels of aggregate demand

Actual GDP: the level of real GDP produced by a country in, say, one year

Actual economic growth: an increase in real GDP from using more of an economy’s existing resources. Short run economic growth

Aggregate demand: total spending on domestic output at a given price level, over a given time period, usually one year

Aggregate supply: shows the total output domestic producers are willing and able to produce at a given price level, over a given time period, usually one year

Anticipated inflation: the expected rate of inflation for the near future.

Appreciation: an increase in the value of an asset or the exchange rate

Automatic stabilisers: changes in taxes and government spending beyond the control of government and brought about by the economic cycle

Average propensity to consume: the proportion of household income spent on products

Balance of Payments: a record of economic transactions between residents of a country and the rest of the world, over a period of time, usually one year.

Balanced budget: government revenue equals government expenditure

Bank: a financial institution that accepts deposits from savers and makes loans to borrowers

Base rate: the interest rate set by the Bank of England. Commercial banks set their own interest rates for mortgages and loans around this base rate

Bilateral exchange rate: the exchange rate between two currencies eg $2/£

Billion: £ billion denotes £1,000 million ie £1,000,000,000

Bloc: a group of countries in alliance e.g. the EU

Borrowing: gaining credit from a lender to be repaid, with interest, within a defined time period

Budget: expected annual government income & expenditure

Budget deficit: government revenue is less than government expenditure

Budget surplus: government revenue is greater than government expenditure

Capacity: the maximum amount of output a firm or country can produce given its current resources, in a given time period

Capital accumulation : an increase in a country’s stock (amount) of plant building and machinery over time.

Capital & Finance Account: a record of money flows between UK & overseas residents from the purchase of fixed or financial assets eg factories shares and loans

Capital output ratio: is the amount of capital needed to generate £1 of GDP, each year

Central bank: a country’s main bank, which issues currency, enacts monetary policy, and is banker to the government & commercial banks

Circular flow of income: the movement of spending and income across an economy

Commodities: primary products such as gold, oil, wheat or rubber

Common external tariff: a tax on imports imposed on goods imported in a trade bloc from non member countries

Common market: See single market

Comparative advantage: the ability to produce a product at a relatively lower opportunity cost than other countries, regions or individuals

Comprehensive Spending Review: government spending plans for the medium term eg next three years

Consumption: domestic household spending on consumer products

Cost push inflation: inflation caused by increasing prices of inputs eg wage rise, increased import price (imported inflation) or higher indirect taxation.

Credibility: the government’s commitment to long-term stability commands trust from the public business and markets.

Current Account: a record of money flows between UK & overseas residents arising from trade in goods & services and investment income from owning overseas assets

Customs union: a trading bloc where member countries abolish tariffs on trade between members and impose a common external tariff on trade with non members

Cyclical deficit: a budget deficit caused by the operation of automatic stabilisers during the down turn stages of the economic cycle: G>T

Cyclical unemployment: the number of jobless as a result of insufficient aggregate demand compared to aggregate supply.

Deflation: a sustained decrease in the general price level

Deflationary policies : government measures to lower total aggregate demand and spending eg higher interest rates and taxes

Demand management: government intervention in the economy to change the level of aggregate demand

Demand pull inflation: inflation resulting from increases in aggregate demand unaccompanied by an increase in aggregate supply: “too much money chasing too few goods”

Depreciation: a fall in the value of an asset or an exchange rate.

Developed economy: A country with a high per capita income and modern secondary and tertiary sectors.

Developing economy : A country with a low per capita income, and undeveloped secondary and tertiary sectors.

Discretionary fiscal policy: the government deliberately adjusts its spending and taxation to influence the overall level of economic activity

Disposable income : income left after deducting direct taxes, and adding state benefits

Discretionary income: income left after deducting direct taxes, adding state benefits and paying for essentials such as food and shelter

Dumping: when exports are priced below unit cost, or at a lower price than in the exporter’s home market

Dynamic efficiencies: improvements in productivity causing lower unit costs that occur over time as a result of eg investment trade or knowledge transfers

Economic inactivity: people of working age who are not seeking a job because of early retirement, family, long-term sickness or full-time study

Economic agents : a term used in model building to categorise groups of individuals or organisations eg : consumers, firms, the government and international

Economic convergence: the extent to which the economies of different countries share the structure and economic performance

Economic cycle: fluctuations in the level of real GDP over time over four stages: recession, recovery, boom and slowdown

Economic development: the process of improving individual’s economic well being and quality of life.

Economic growth : an increase in the capacity of the economy to produce goods and services, over time. An increase in productive potential is usually means a rise in GDP

Economic indicator: Any economic metric (statistic) that measures economic activity eg GDP, economic growth, inflation or unemployment rate, or current account

Economic performance: how well a country uses it scarce resources.

Economic shocks: unanticipated events that affect aggregate demand or supply

Economic stability: the absence of excessive fluctuations in the level of economic activity.

Economic Union: a trading bloc with a single market that also harmonises policies across member countries eg coordinated social and macroeconomic policies

Effective exchange rate: the weighted average of a currency’s exchange rates with its major trading partners’ currencies – weightings reflect the proportion trade

Euro zone: the 11 EU countries that have adopted a common currency, the euro

European Union: an association between 27 European member states seeking economic and political co-operation and integration.

Expenditure reducing: policies lowers domestic aggregate demand hence the demand for imports

Expenditure switching: policies that encourage economic agents to substitute domestic for overseas made products.

Exports: spending by overseas residents on domestically made products

External economic shocks: a significant unexpected economic event occurring outside the economy eg recession in the USA

Factor endowment: the quantity and quality of land, labour, capital and enterprise a country possesses

Fine tuning: government use of fiscal, monetary or exchange rate policy to change levels of aggregate demand

Fiscal policy: the use of government expenditure, benefit payments and taxation to manipulate the level and makeup of aggregate demand

Fiscal position: the current stat of the government budget ie deficit or surplus

Fiscal stance: the intended impact of government spending & taxation plans on the level of future economic activity

Fiscal transfers: taxes raised in one country are made available to finance government spending in another country

Fixed exchange rate : the value of one currency against other currencies is held constant

Flexibility: government can adjust fiscal and monetary policy in response to an economic shock without losing credibility

Floating exchange rate: The value of the currency is determined in markets called Foreign Exchange Market (Forex), without any government intervention

Foreign Exchange Market: the place where currencies are traded (FOREX)

Foreign direct investment (FDI): the purchase of physical assets such plant, buildings and land or a company

Foreign currency reserves : official international reserves (deposits) of overseas currencies of $, €, ¥ etc held by the government at the Central Bank.

Free trade: a county has no government controls or restrictions, such as tariffs or quotas, to limit international trade

Free trade area: an agreement between two or more countries to abolish tariffs in the new bloc

Frictional unemployment: the jobless have appropriate skills for vacancies are jobless but need time to find new employment

Full employment : all workers seeking jobs can find employment at the going wage rate. There is no cyclical unemployment

Futures market: markets where economic agents trade contracts to buy or sell commodities of currencies at a fixed price at a set date in the future

Gini coefficient: measures the degree of income inequality between different households The lower its value, the more equally household income is distributed

Globalisation: the process of ever closer links between national economies

Golden rule: over the economic cycle the government borrows only to invest and not to fund current expenditure

Government: the body that passes and enforces laws, collects taxes to finance public expenditure, and intervenes in the free market to change behaviour

Government intervention : the state takes action to try to correct market failure and so improve economic efficiency.

Gross Domestic Product (GDP): the total value of goods & services produced within a country’s borders in a given time period eg a year. The sum of all economic activity in UK territory

Gross National Income: the total income earned by the citizens of a country in one year from economic activity, during a given period, usually one year

Gross National Product: measures economic activity a nation’s citizens where ever they are in the world

Hedging: techniques that aim to reduce financial risk and uncertainty from unexpected changes in the price of commodities or currencies

Hot money flows: highly liquid funds that move around the world in search of the highest short term rate of return from expected interest rates and exchange rate changes

Human capital: the skill knowledge and expertise of the labour force acquired through experience education and training

Imports: spending by domestic residents on goods and services produced overseas

Income distribution : the extent to which total income is shared out between households

Index of Sustainable Economic Welfare : a Genuine Progress Indicator that adjusts traditional GDP data to take account of activities that raise or reduce well being

Infant industry : industries with a potential comparative advantage that need short run protection from lower cost overseas rivals while they establish themselves

Inflation: a sustained rise in the price level

Inflation rate: The percentage increase in the price level over a given period of time

Informal economy: undeclared or illegal economic activity which goes unrecorded in official data such as GDP

Infrastructure: the stock of capital used to support the economic system

Injection: Additions of extra expenditure into the circular flow of income generated by investment, government spending, or exports

Integration: when economic activity in separate regions or countries become increasingly interlinked and interdependent eg the European Union.

Interdependent: when economic agents are interlinked eg trading partners become mutually dependent on one another for products

Interest: the charge made for the use of borrowed money for a period of time; the reward for lending; the price of money

Interest rate: the sum charged for borrowing money, expressed as a percentage.

International competitiveness: the ability of firms in an economy to match the price and quality of other nation’s output.

International finance: capital flows across national borders

International trade: the exchange of goods and services across national borders.

International sector: the importing and exporting of products between one or more countries

Investment: spending by domestic firms on capital goods

Intra-industry trade : the exchange of products made by the same industry.

Inter-industry trade: the exchange of products made by different industries

Inter regional trade: the exchange of products between nations in different geographical areas

Inverted J curve effect: the current account initially improves following an appreciation of a currency where the trade balance initially improves before it worsens.

J Curve effect: the path followed by the current account following an exchange rate depreciation where the trade balance initially worsens before it improves.

Keynesian school: economists influenced by the work of J M Keynes who believe that markets often fail to clear requiring government intervention.

Labour force: the total number of people employed and those registered as unemployed. B400

Labour Force Survey : a measure of unemployment which totals all those who have looked for work in the past month and are able to start employment in the next two weeks.

Labour intensive: the use of a high proportion of labour in production relative to other resources

Laffer curve: a graph showing the relationship between tax rates and tax revenues.

Leakage: household withdrawals of potential spending from the circular flow of income through saving taxes or imports

Legitimacy: wide spread support from economic agents for government macro economic objectives and policies

Lending: extending credit to a borrower to be repaid, with interest, within a defined time period

Liberalisation: reductions in the barriers to international trade eg removal of quotas tariffs and exchange controls

Long run economic growth: an increase in the economy’s capacity to produce goods and services. Potential economic growth

Long term capital flows: the movement of money between countries to finance overseas investment in assets such as land, buildings, stocks and shares

Macroeconomic equilibrium: when aggregate demand equal aggregate supply with no tendency for output or the price level to change

Macroeconomic objectives: a whole economy aim of the government eg low unemployment

Market economy: an economic system where the market forces of supply & demand are used to allocate scarce resources between alternative uses

Marginal propensity to consume (mpc) : The proportion of extra income spent on consumption: mpc = ∆C/∆Y

Marginal propensity to save (mps): the proportion of extra income saved: mps = ∆S/∆Y

Marginal propensity to tax (mpt): the proportion of extra income taken in tax: mpt = ∆T/∆Y

Marginal propensity to import (mpm): the proportion of extra income spent on imports: mpm = ∆M/∆Y

Marginal propensity to withdraw (mpw): the proportion of extra income not consumed mpw = mps + mpt + mpm or ∆W/∆Y

Marshall-Lerner condition: predicts that depreciation improves the current account only if the combined elasticities of demand for imports & exports are greater than one.

Mixed economy: an economic system that uses both market forces and state control to allocate scarce resources between alternative uses

Model: a simplified view of complex relationships and processes, used to make predictions

Monetary policy: the use of interest rates to affect aggregate demand via the transmissions mechanism.

Monetary Policy Committee: a Bank of England group that meets monthly to set an interest rate to influence aggregate demand and achieve the government’s inflation target

Monetary Union: a bloc with both economic union and a single currency eg the Eurozone. The deepest form of economic integration

Multiplier effect: the process by which a change in an injection or leakage in the circular flow of income brings about a greater change in GDP

Multinational corporations (MNCs): a multinational corporation or company is a business that makes products in more than one country

National debt: the total amount owed by the government. The sum of previous budget deficits

Nationalisation: the transfer of ownership of a firm from the private to public sector

Negative output gap: actual GDP is less than potential GDP causing cyclical unemployment

Net exports: the difference between a country’s exports earnings [X] and its total spending on imports [M] ie [X-M]

Net investment: investment after such depreciation of fixed assets is taken into account. Net investment = gross investment – depreciation

New Classical school: economists who argue that free markets are self regulating and always clear quickly so that wages & prices adjust rapidly to changes without state action.

Nominal GDP: GDP valued at current prices eg 2008 output valued at 2008 prices

Non-renewable resources: natural resources such as oil which cannot be replaced and so can only be used once

Non trade barriers: imposing restrictions on trade other than tariffs eg foreign exchange controls

Opportunity cost: the best alternative sacrificed when an economic choice is made. The opportunity cost of more leisure time is the lost wages sacrificed.

Optimal currency area : a bloc of countries are better off with a single currency

Output gap: the difference between an economy’s potential and actual GDP

Performance indicators: the measures used to judge the success of an organisation eg prices, profits or productivity

Planned economy: an economic system where the state decides what to produce, how to produce it, and for whom to produce goods & services.

Positive output gap: actual GDP exceed potential GDP, generating inflationary pressure

Potential economic growth: an increase in the economy’s capacity to produce goods and services. Long run economic growth

Potential output: highest level of output a country can produce with current resources that delivers both full employment and stable inflation

Presbisch-Singer hypothesis : states the terms of trade between primary products and manufactured goods tend to deteriorate over time

Price level: the average market prices of a group of selected products eg the Retail Price Index (RPI). Changes in the price level are inflation or deflation

Price stability: no or minimal changes in the price level

Price transparency: The ability of economic agents to compare the price of given products in different countries

Primary sector: The part of the economy that extracts natural resources eg farming, fishing, quarrying and mining.

Privatisation: the transfer of ownership of a firm from the public to private sector

Productive capacity: the maximum possible GDP of an economy given its current stock of resources ie labour and capital. Potential output

Protectionism: measures taken by the government to shield domestic firms from foreign rivals eg tariffs, quotas and regulation

Public expenditure: government spending

Public sector: that part of the economy made up central government local government, and public corporations

Public sector net cash requirement : the difference between the revenue of general government and its spending

Purchasing power: The amount of products a unit of currency, eg one pound, can buy

Purchasing power parity: The exchange rate at which one unit of currency will purchase the same amount of products in the USA and another country

Quaternary sector: The part of the economy that creates intellectual and information processing services eg scientific research, R&D, education, and IT.

Quota: the legal limit on the amount of a product that can be imported

Rate of inflation: the percentage increase in the general price level, during a given period, usually one year

Real GDP: nominal GDP adjusted for inflation ie current output valued at constant (base year) prices.

Recession: two or more consecutive falls in quarterly GDP

Reflationary policies : government measures to stimulate aggregate demand eg lower interest rates and taxes

Relative opportunity cost: The cost of making one product in one country in terms of the best alternative item sacrificed, compared to another nation

Relative poverty: households receiving less than 60% of the median average income

Rules based policy: governments adjust macroeconomic policies to ensure published rules are kept eg the national debt must not exceed 40% of GDP

Saving: For households, savings is that part of disposable income which is not spent

Secondary sector : The part of the economy that manufactures goods eg, cars, construction & energy utilities

Short run aggregate supply: total output at a given price level, in a given time period, assuming costs such as wage rates, oil prices and components remain constant

Short run economic growth: an increase in real GDP from using more of an economy’s existing resources. Actual economic growth

Short term capital flows: speculative funds that move between countries hoping to make a capital gain from expected changes in interest and exchange rates ie hot money

Single currency: a currency shared by more than one nation eg the Euro

Single market: a trade bloc with no tariffs and non trade barriers between members, a common external tariff, and free movement of labour and capital between members

Social exclusion: low income groups are denied access to products

Stability and Growth Pact: an agreement between members of the Eurozone that the budget deficit is less than 3% of GDP and the total government debt is 60% or less of GDP

Stagflation: an economy experiencing both inflation and unemployment

Standard of living: the average amount of GDP for each person in a country ie per capita GDP.

Stocks: stored goods held ready for future use or sale ie inventory

Strong pound: the value of sterling is appreciating relative to other currencies

Structural change : a change in the relative importance of the primary, secondary and tertiary sectors of an economy over time

Structural unemployment : the jobless have inappropriate skills for vacancies

Subsidy: a payment made by the government to consumers or producers to encourage consumption or production

Supply side policy: measures designed to raise productive capacity and so increase aggregate supply by making labour and product markets work better

Sustainability: meeting the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs

Sustainable development : economic development that meets the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs

Sustainable growth: an increase in GDP that does not compromise the ability of future generations to meet their own needs

Sustainable investment rule: the national debt, as a percentage of GDP is held at a stable and prudent level of no more than 40% of real GDP.

Symmetrical inflation target : inflation rates above or below the set inflation target rate are equally unacceptable

Tariff: a tax on imports and can be used to restrict imports and raise revenue for the government.

Taxes: compulsory charges imposed by government on individuals & firms

Terms of trade: the ratio of export prices to import prices expressed as an index value

Tertiary sector : the part of the economy that creates services eg transport, tourism, banking, insurance and retail

Trade: the exchange of products

Trade barriers : barriers and restrictions on the import or export of products

Trade in goods: exports and imports of tangible products eg oil, manufactures and components.

Trade in services : exports and imports of intangible products eg banking, insurance, & tourism

Trade off: The process of making a choice between alternatives eg deciding if is worth sacrificing a new car for a holiday in Hawaii

Trade creation: when high-cost domestic producers are replaced by low-cost imports from efficient partner countries during integration

Trade deficit: The value of exports is less than the value of imports ie net exports is negative lowering aggregate demand

Trade diversion: when economic integration results in low-cost producers outside the integration area being replaced by high cost producers in partner countries.

Trade surplus: The value of exports is greater than the value of imports, ie, net exports is positive boosting aggregate demand

Transaction: the act of buying or selling (exchanging) a product

Transaction costs: the expenses involved in trading eg time and transport

Transfer payments: unearned benefits paid out to households by the government eg unemployment, disability and child allowances

Transition economies: countries moving from a planned to market economic system.

Transmissions mechanism: the process by which a change in interest rates affects economic activity and inflation

Treasury: the government department responsible for the UK’s economic policy.

Trend growth: the average rate of economic growth in a given period of time – usually the course of the economic cycle

Unanticipated inflation: The failure of economic agents to estimate the future rate of inflation, accurately

Unemployment: people who are willing and able to work are unable to find a paying job

Unemployment rate: the proportion of the labour force registered as unemployed. Given by the equation: total unemployed/ number in the labour force x 100

Unemployment trap: lost benefits and extra tax mean employees earn less income from working than if they remain unemployed

Weak pound: the value of sterling is depreciating relative to other currencies

Wealth: the current value of an individual’s assets eg house and shares

Wealth distribution: the extent to which total wealth is shared out between households

World Trade Organisation (WTO): an inter-governmental body where member countries develop and enforce rules for international trade

Working age population: in the UK, the total number of men aged 16 to 64 and women aged 16 to 59

Tuesday, November 3, 2009

Terms of trade.

In international economics and international trade, terms of trade or TOT is the relative prices of a country's export to import. "Terms of trade" are sometimes used as a proxy for the relative social welfare of a country. An improvement in a nation's terms of trade (the increase of the ratio) is good for that country in the sense that it has to pay less for the products it imports. That is, it has to give up fewer exports for the imports it receives.

 

In the simplified case of two countries and two commodities (two different goods), terms of trade is defined as the ratio of the price a country receives for its export good to the price it pays for its import good. In this simple case the imports of one country are the exports of the other country. For example, if a country exports 50 dollars worth of product in exchange for 100 dollars worth of imported product, that country's terms of trade are 50/100 = 0.5. The terms of trade for the other country must be the reciprocal (100/50 = 2). When this number is falling, the country is said to have "deteriorating terms of trade". If multiplied by 100, these calculations can be expressed as a percentage (50% and 200% respectively). If a country's terms of trade fall from say 100% to 70% (from 1.0 to 0.7), it has experienced a 30% deterioration (declining)  in its terms of trade. When doing longitudinal (time series) calculations, it is common to set the base year[citation needed] to make interpretation of the results easier.

 

In basic Microeconomics, the terms of trade are usually set in the interval between the opportunity costs for the production of a given good of two countries.

 

Terms of trade is the ratio of a country's export price index to its import price index, multiplied by 100

In the more realistic case of many products exchanged between many countries, terms of trade can be calculated using a Laspeyres index. In this case, a nation's terms of trade is the ratio of the Laspeyre price index of exports to the Laspeyre price index of imports. The Laspeyre export index is the current value of the base period exports divided by the base period value of the base period exports. Similarly, the Laspeyres import index is the current value of the base period imports divided by the base period value of the base period imports.


  Where

price of exports in the current period

 quantity of exports in the base period

 price of exports in the base period

 price of imports in the current period

 quantity of imports in the base period

 price of imports in the base period

 

Basically: Export Price Over Import price times 100 If the percentage is over 100% then your economy is doing well (Capital Accumulation) If the percentage is under 100% then your economy is not going well (More money going out then coming in)

 

Other terms-of-trade calculations

The net barter terms of trade is the ratio (expressed as a percentage) of relative export and import prices when volume is held constant.

The gross barter terms of trade is the ratio (expressed as a percent) of a quantity index of exports to a quantity index of inputs.

The income terms of trade is the ratio (expressed as a percent) of the value of exports to the price of imports.

The single factorial terms of trade is the net barter terms of trade adjusted for changes in the productivity of exports.

The double factorial terms of trade adjusts for both the productivity of exports and the productivity of imports.